Player Prop Report Card Week 10 🏈

A recap of how our prop picks performed for Week 10!

November 19, 2024

Patrick McDonnell

Week 10

Overall Record: 12-10 (54.5%)
Change in Units: +2.43
Results based on unit size:
- $5 Bettor is +$12.17
- $10 Bettor is +$24.33
- $20 Bettor is +$48.66

2024 Entire Season Record

Overall Record: 84-68 (54.5%)
Change in Units: +3.1
Results based on unit size:
- $5 Bettor is +$15.52
- $10 Bettor is +$31.04
- $20 Bettor is +$62.08

Prop Summary/Notes

❌ Derrick Henry Over 18.5 Rushing Attempts (15% EV)- Result: 16
❌ Derrick Henry Over 16 Fantasy Points (PPR) (17% EV)- Result: 14.1
✅ Jalen Coker Over 25.5 Receiving Yards (23% EV)- Result: 41
- Coker has now passed this mark in 5 of his past 6 games.
✅ Theo Johnson Over 23.5 Receiving Yards (17% EV)- Result: 37
✅ Tyrone Tracy Jr. Over 16.5 Rushing Attempts (16% EV)- Result: 18
❌ Jonathan Taylor Over 17.5 Receiving Yards (17.5% EV)- Result: 8
❌ Kareem Hunt Over 18.5 Rushing Attempts (20% EV)- Result: 14
✅ George Kittle Over 55.5 Receiving Yards (23.5% EV)- Result: 57
✅ Brock Purdy Over 240.5 Passing Yards (17% EV)- Result: 353
- This line was up to 260.5 on a lot of books by game time - tremendous find early in the week.
❌ James Cook Over 2.5 Receptions (22.4% EV)- Result: 1
❌ James Cook Over 15.5 Receiving Yards (28.6% EV)- Result: 5
✅ Khalil Shakir Over 5.5 Receptions (21.9% EV)- Result: 6
- Shakir receptions lines continue to cash.
❌ Najee Harris Over 61.5 Rushing Yards (20% EV)- Result: 53
- Harris got 21 attempts in this one but was much more inefficient than expected at only 2.5 YPC.
❌ Derek Carr Over 19.5 Completions (20% EV)- Result: 16
✅ Taysom Hill Over 12.5 Receiving Yards (32.6% EV)- Result: 36
- One of the highest EV picks of the week, this one was passed early in the 1st quarter.
✅ Mac Jones Over .5 Interceptions Thrown (14% EV)- Result: 2
- Never a doubt.
✅ Tank Bigsby Under 12.5 Rushing Attempts (19% EV)- Result: 2
❌ Saquon Barkley Over 19.5 Rushing Attempts (17% EV)- Result: 14
❌ Kyler Murray Under 212.5 Passing Yards (17% EV)- Result: 266
✅ C.J. Stroud Over 31.5 Pass Attempts (26% EV)- Result: 33
✅ Jared Goff Under 245.5 Passing Yards (25% EV)- Result: 240
- The game script in the SNF game was flipped from our expectation but both props managed to hit with some of the most erratic QB play we have seen this season.
✅ Colby Parkinson Under 22.5 Receiving Yards (17% EV)- Result: 0
- Davis Allen has seemingly taken Parkinson's entire role in the offense.