Player Prop Report Card Week 9 🏈

A recap of how our prop picks performed for Week 9

February 27, 2025

Patrick McDonnell

Week 9

Overall Record: 9-4 (69.2%)
Change in Units: +4.61
Results based on unit size:
- $5 Bettor is +$23.07
- $10 Bettor is +$46.14
- $20 Bettor is +$92.27

2024 Entire Season Record

Overall Record: 71-58 (53.9%)
Change in Units: +1.90
Results based on unit size:
- $5 Bettor is +$9.51
- $10 Bettor is +$19.02
- $20 Bettor is +$38.03

Prop Summary/Notes

✅ Bijan Robinson Over 101.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards (16% EV)- Result: 145
✅ Jakobi Meyers Over 4.5 Receptions (18% EV)- Result: 8
- Jakobi has now exceeded 6 receptions in each of his last 3 games.
✅ Jakobi Meyers Over 45.5 Receiving Yards (22% EV)- Result: 105
✅ Devon Achane Over 4.5 Receptions (16.5% EV)- Result: 8
- Achane has now had 6+ receptions in every game with Tua this season. This line saw huge movement almost immediately after posting.
✅ Tua Tagovailoa Over 21.5 Pass Completions (15% EV)- Result: 25
✅ Tyrone Tracy Jr. Over 55.5 Rushing Yards (20% EV)- Result: 66
✅ Bijan Robinson Over 66.5 Rushing Yards (17% EV)- Result: 86
- The Dallas defense continues to be shredded by RBs.
❌ Keon Coleman Over 48.5 Receiving Yards (18% EV)- Result: 21
✅ Khalil Shakir Over 4.5 Receptions (24% EV)- Result: 6
🚑 Dak Prescott Over 24.5 Completions (15% EV)- Result: 18
🚑 Chris Olave Over 5.5 Receptions (15.5% EV)- Result: 1
❌ Taysom Hill Over 26.5 Rushing Yards (19.9% EV)- Result: 19
❌ Bryce Young Over 30.5 Pass Attempts (15% EV)- Result: 26
- The Panthers staying in this one actually hurt us!
✅ Jalen Coker Over 34.5 Receiving Yards (17% EV)- Result: 36
❌ Joe Flacco Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (17.3% EV)- Result: 0
- We were right about the Colts having to play from behind but underestimated how suffocating the Viking defense would be.
✅ Jonathan Taylor Over 2.5 Receptions (13% EV)- Result: 3
- Receptions continue to be our most profitable prop type.
❌ Jonathan Taylor Over 11.5 Receiving Yards (25% EV)- Result: 11
❌ Josh Downs Over 0.5 Touchdowns (18.6% EV)- Result: 0