Player Prop Report Card Week 5 🏈

A recap of how our prop picks performed for Week 5!

October 14, 2024

Overall Record: 7-8 (46.7%)
Change in Units: -1.95
Results based on unit size:
- $5 Bettor is -$9.77
- $10 Bettor is -$19.54
- $20 Bettor is -$39.07

Overall Record: 44-33 (57.1%)
Change in Units: +2.41
Results based on unit size:
- $5 Bettor is +$12.03
- $10 Bettor is +$24.06
- $20 Bettor is +$48.11

Prop Summary/Notes

❌ Tyler Allgeier Over 31.5 Rushing Yards (18% EV)- Result: 12
- Allgeier played a season high 31 snaps but had only 6 rush attempts. Tough one.
❌ Sterling Shepard Over 19.5 Receiving Yards (17% EV)- Result: 4
❌ Jonathan Mingo Under 32.5 Receiving Yards (18% EV)- Result: 37
- Mingo once again had woeful efficiency but managed to pass this one on a late reception when the game was already decided.
✅ Derrick Henry Over 80.5 Rushing Yards (16% EV)- Result: 92
- One big play in overtime saved this one!
✅ Stefon Diggs Over 4.5 Receptions (19% EV)- Result: 6
❌ Jerome Ford Over 66.5 Rushing + Receiving (22% EV)- Result: 49
- Ford only played 36% of the snaps in what was a blowout very early.
✅ Josh Downs Over 4.5 Receptions (20% EV)- Result: 9
- In every game Downs has played he has had a target share of 25%+.
❌ Marvin Harrison Jr. Over 54.5 Receiving Yards (18% EV)- Result: 36
- Marv's air yards per game remains elite. Very disappointing to miss on him two weeks in a row.
✅ Brock Bowers Over 4.5 Receptions (16% EV)- Result: 8
- TE1.
✅ Jordan Mason Over 85.5 Rushing Yards (17% EV)- Result: 89
❌ Courtland Sutton Over 46.5 Receiving Yards (17% EV)- Result: 32
✅ Colby Parkinson Over 3.5 Receptions (29% EV)- Result: 7
❌ Emanuel Wilson Over 26.5 Rushing Yards (19% EV)- Result: 24
❌ Najee Harris Over 84.5 Rushing + Receiving (17% EV)- Result: 77
✅ Jalen Tolbert Over 36.5 Receiving Yards (23% EV)- Result: 87
- 10 targets for Tolbert without Brandin Cooks 👀

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