Player Prop Report Card Week 4 🏈
A recap of how our prop picks performed for Week 4!
October 1, 2024
Patrick McDonnell
Week 4
- Overall Record: 10-2 (83.3%)
- Change in Units: +6.71
- Results based on unit size:
- $5 Bettor is +33.57
- $10 Bettor is +$67.14
- $20 Bettor is +$134.29
2024 Entire Season Record
- Overall Record: 37-25 (59.7%)
- Change in Units: +4.36
- Results based on unit size:
- $5 Bettor is +21.80
- $10 Bettor is +43.59
- $20 Bettor is +87.18
Prop Summary/Notes
- ✅ Tyrone Tracy Jr. Over 5.5 Receiving Yards (16% EV)- Result: 19
- ✅ Rico Dowdle Over 35.5 Rushing Yards (17% EV)- Result: 46
- Dowdle's role in the rushing game grew for the 3rd consecutive week.
- ✅ Chuba Hubbard Over 2.5 Receptions (17% EV)- Result: 4
- ✅ Aaron Rodgers Under 225.5 Passing Yards (17% EV)- Result: 225
- We sweat this one out by half a yard! This line was down to 219.5 on most books by kickoff - another example of the importance of having notifications on!
- ❌ Najee Harris Over 62.5 Rushing Yards (16% EV)- Result: 19
- 1.5 YPC is not going to get it done.
- ✅ Brian Robinson Over 62.5 Rushing Yards (21% EV)- Result: 101
- When Robinson booms he really booms - over 100 rushing yards in 2 of 4 games so far this season.
- ❌ Marvin Harrison Jr. Over 67.5 Receiving Yards (16% EV)- Result: 45
- ✅ Zamir White Under 1.5 Receptions (19% EV)- Result: 0
- The coaches have indicated that Mattison will see even more work next week.
- ✅ Dalton Kincaid Over 37.5 Receiving Yards (16% EV)- Result: 47
- ✅ Jaxon Smith-Njigba Over 4.5 Receptions (20% EV)- Result: 8
- ✅ Jaxon Smith-Njigba Over 49.5 Receiving Yards (20% EV)- Result: 51
- ✅ Jahmyr Gibbs Over 49.5 Rushing Yards (15% EV)- Result: 78
- This is the 3rd game in a row Gibbs has rushed for 75+.
This was the most profitable week of the season so far for our picks. A lot of them were very very close though and would've been misses if you'd taken them after the lines had shifted - some incentive to get access to the props as early as possible!
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