Player Prop Report Card Week 16 🏈

A recap of how our prop picks performed for Week 16!

December 30, 2024

Overall Record: 8-3 (72.7%)
Change in Units: +4.05
Results based on unit size:
- $5 Bettor is +$20.24
- $10 Bettor is +$40.48
- $20 Bettor is +$80.95

Overall Record: 138-108 (56.3%)
Change in Units: +18.37
Results based on unit size:
- $5 Bettor is +$91.83
- $10 Bettor is +$186.67
- $20 Bettor is +$367.33

Prop Summary/Notes

❌ Justin Herbert Over 31.5 Passing Attempts (14% EV)- Result: 31
❌ Kimani Vidal Over 9.5 Receiving Yards (16% EV)- Result: 0
✅ Stone Smartt Over 30.5 Receiving Yards (19.6% EV)- Result: 37
✅ Mike Williams Over 15.5 Receiving Yards (15.6% EV)- Result: 24
🚑 Justice Hill Over 2.5 Receptions (16.4% EV)- Result: 0
✅ Mark Andrews Over 27.5 Receiving Yards (19.5% EV)- Result: 37
✅ Jahmyr Gibbs Over 118.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards (22% EV)- Result: 154
- Gibbs was well over 100 total yards at the half! Gibbsmas will be on again this week against the 49ers.
✅ Malik Nabers Over 5.5 Receptions (21.2% EV)- Result: 7
✅ Tua Tagovailoa Under 258.5 Passing Yards (17% EV)- Result: 215
✅ Jalen McMillan Over 35.5 Receiving Yards (19.7% EV)- Result: 57
✅ Jalen McMillan Over 3.5 Receptions (22.5% EV)- Result: 5
- 6+ targets and 50+ receiving yards the past three weeks for McMillan
❌ Rachaad White Over 9.5 Rushing Attempts (16.5% EV)- Result: 3
- Bucky Irving got his highest rushing share of the league in a game where the Bucs ended up with a negative gamescript. Not ideal.

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