Player Prop Report Card Week 13 🏈

A recap of how our prop picks performed for Week 13!

December 3, 2024

Overall Record: 9-4 (69.2%)
Change in Units: +4.56
Results based on unit size:
- $5 Bettor is +$22.81
- $10 Bettor is +$45.62
- $20 Bettor is +$91.21

Overall Record: 106-93 (53.3%)
Change in Units: -0.1
Results based on unit size:
- $5 Bettor is -$0.06
- $10 Bettor is -$0.13
- $20 Bettor is -$0.26

Prop Summary/Notes

✅ David Montgomery Over 12.5 Fantasy Points (PPR) (18.7% EV)- Result: 15.4
❌ Rome Odunze Over 3.5 Receptions (17.7% EV)- Result: 2
- The Bears passing volume was in line for our projection and resulted in big days for Moore and Allen - Rome couldn't quite get this done despite 6 targets.
✅ Rico Dowdle Over 13.5 Fantasy Points (PPR) (16.7% EV)- Result: 21.3
✅ Ladd McConkey Over 5.5 Receptions (21.2% EV)- Result: 9
✅ Ladd McConkey Over 64.5 Receiving Yards (21% EV)- Result: 117
- Ladd had blown by both of these props by halftime even in a lackluster performance from the Chargers offense as a whole.
✅ Nico Collins Over 78.5 Receiving Yards (14% EV)- Result: 119
✅ Geno Smith Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (15.3% EV)- Result: 1
✅ Anthony Richardson To score a touchdown (18.6% EV)- Result: 1
- The Colts looked to Richardson at the goal line multiple times this game, this line is one to watch following their bye.
✅ Marvin Harrison Jr. Over 3.5 Receptions (21.7% EV)- Result: 5
❌ Puka Nacua Over 6.5 Receptions (21% EV)- Result: 5
❌ A.J. Brown Over 88.5 Receiving Yards (18.5% EV)- Result: 66
❌ Saquon Barkley Over 15.5 Receiving Yards (21.6% EV)- Result: 10
- The Eagles passed the ball only 17 times and ran it 33 against one of the best rushing defenses in the league.
✅ Jerry Jeudy Over 7.5 Targets (17.7% EV)- Result: 13
- Jeudy revenge game was a success!