We have real NFL games this week! This is a refresher for you on how we performed last season.

Here is our full end of season prop report we published after the SuperBowl last season. In it includes results of our 280 recommended prop bets, insights into which types of prop picks were most successful, and some tips for betting using the WalterPicks app moving forward! 

Entire 2023 Season (Final Count!)

• Overall Record: 160-120 (57.1%)
• Change in Units: +45.87
• Results based on unit size:
  • $5 Bettor is +$229.36
  • $10 Bettor is +$458.72
  • $20 Bettor is +$917.43

NFL Locks Only

• Overall Record: 11-2 (84.6%)
• Change in Units: +23.81

*All locks are marked with a 🔒 icon in the app

*Change in units is based on our recommendation of betting 3 units on all locks 

Overs vs. Unders

• Overs Record: 135-102 (57%)
• Change in Units: +35.79

• Unders Record: 23-13 (63.9%)
• Change in Units: +10.89

Prop Records by Position

• QB Record: 20-17 (54.1%)
• Change in Units: -1.81

• RB Record: 37-31 (54.4%)
• Change in Units: +10.22

• TE Record: 26-19 (57.8%)
• Change in Units: +7.82

• WR Record: 76-49 (60.8%)
• Change in Units: +30.69

Prop Records by Type

• Total Passing TDs: 7-5 (58.3%)
• Change in Units: +0.59

• Total Passing Yards: 8-10 (44.4%)
• Change in Units: -5.14

• Total Receiving Yards: 65-45 (59.1%)
• Change in Units: +22.56

• Total Rushing Yards: 20-13 (60.6%)
• Change in Units: +11.12

• Total Receptions: 52-35 (59.8%)
• Change in Units: +19.23

• Total Rushing + Receiving Yards: 5-6 (45.5%)
• Change in Units: -1.57

Key Takeaways/Other Notes

• Do not miss out on locks. There were a very low number of them this season but the hit rate and return on units were both massive. 
• Don't avoid betting Walter's recommended Unders (63.9% hit rate vs. 57% for Overs).
• Walter's worst prop type was very clearly passing yards (44.4% hit rate) but the change in units is skewed by a lock on CJ Stroud failing to hit in Week 6.
• Walter's projections very clearly is most valuable with WRs - they had both the highest volume of recommended props and the highest hit rate of all positions. 
• Walter had a 100% hit rate betting the under on rushing yards for RBs (5/5). 
• Walter was much better at betting receptions for RBs than total receiving yards (61.1% hit rate vs. 40%).
• Walter had an 80% hit rate betting the Under on receiving yards for WRs (4/5). 
• Consistency matters. Over time Walter is clearly creating an edge. This is very easy to see over the course of a season but takes discipline in the moment when dealing with tough losses. 

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