Dark Horse Fantasy MVP Candidates 2024
Players with an outside chance to be number one in fantasy points at their position in 2024 - Sync your league today to get customized player projections for your draft!
August 30, 2024
Patrick McDonnell
As we approach the biggest draft weekend of the year we wanted to highlight some guys that have league winning potential. Here are some dark horse candidates to finish number one in fantasy points at their position in 2024!
1. Dark Horse QB1 Candidates
- Kyler Murray
- Jayden Daniels
- Caleb Williams
- Justin Fields
Kyler Murray already has a top-2 QB finish under his belt from back in 2020. He averaged over 30 rushing yards per game last season and has a much better supporting cast with the addition of Marvin Harrison Jr.
Jayden Daniels was built in the lab for fantasy football. He was the best deep ball passer in all of fantasy football last year and rushed for over 1,100 yards.
Caleb Williams has potentially the most loaded WR a rookie has ever walked into. The model for a QB1 season would be similar to that of 2018 Patrick Mahomes who threw for 50 TDs and rushed for 250+ yards in his first season as a starter.
Justin Fields is perhaps the longest shot of all in this group but does have a season of 1,100+ rushing yards under his belt. If any QB being left on waivers has any chance at being QB1, it is Fields.
2. Dark Horse RB1 Candidates
- Derrick Henry
- Josh Jacobs
- De'Von Achane
- Isiah Pacheco
Despite being 30 years old and having a lot of tread on his tires, Derrick Henry is entering a team that has been 1st in running back yards per carry in three of the last five seasons. The defensive attention that Lamar demands vaults Henry's ceiling to a new level.
In Green Bay, Josh Jacobs has a huge opportunity to be the lead back in what could be one of the top offenses in the league. He should have significantly more scoring opportunities than he had in Las Vegas, and has demonstrated the durability required to capitalize.
De'Von Achane averaged 7.4 yards per carry his rookie season and finished as the RB24 despite only seeing significant reps in 7 games. In all but two of those games he scored 21 PPR points. An increase in volume and durability could make Achane go nuclear.
The Chiefs seem determined to return to form as a top offense this year with the additions of Hollywood Brown and Xavier Worthy. Isiah Pacheco was 4th in the league in rushing share last season and 12th in RB receptions. If the offense takes a leap, Pacheco would be a huge beneficiary.
3. Dark Horse WR1 Candidates
- Malik Nabers
- Drake London
- Cooper Kupp
- Deebo Samuel
Malik Nabers' closest comparison on Player Profiler is Ja'Marr Chase. He has the talent to be one of the top receivers in the league and should be the focal point of the Giants offense. If the offense over performs expectations, Nabers has the ceiling to be a fantasy superstar.
Drake London is finally free of the Arthur Smith run heavy offense and (hopefully) abysmal QB play. Kirk Cousins peppered Justin Jefferson with 51 targets in just 4 games played last season. London now steps into that role after showing flashes of stardom in his first two seasons.
All reports point to the Rams offense running through Cooper Kupp once again and the former overall WR1 looks to be back to his old form. His dip in efficiency last season and recent injuries have caused his ADP to dip. Should we believe the reports, Kupp could very much reclaim his throne if he stays healthy.
If Brandon Aiyuk gets traded, Deebo Samuel would likely be the top target in one of the most efficient offenses in the league. In 2 career games without Aiyuk, Deebo combined for 25 targets and 262 yards.
4. Darkhorse TE1 Candidates
- Trey McBride
- David Njoku
- Jake Ferguson
- Pat Freiermuth
Trey McBride may not be a dark horse based on where he is being drafted but he isn't the household name that Kelce and Andrews are. He was the number 1 TE in target rate last season and the TE4 after Kyler Murray returned.
David Njoku was the TE1 from Week 7 onward last year. He is the primary target in their red zone offense and reportedly having an incredible camp.
Jake Ferguson had double-digit PPR points in 9 games last season. He could be in line for another leap this year, especially if CeeDee Lamb misses time at any point.
Pat Freiermuth is the longest shot of this list but has at least flashed elite TE production in the past. Justin Fields targeted Cole Kmet enough last season to produce a TE7 finish and a healthy Freiermuth would have a clear path to volume.